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The Strong Swiss Franc May Last Through the End of the Year

The Strong Swiss Franc May Last Through the End of the Year


With a glance at July, it is found that some currencies of major industrial countries, which plummeted in the first half of 2020, have rallied in different degrees. Among them, both EUR and AUD have turned their six-month negative inflation into positive one. The main reason is the boom in global stock markets arising from unprecedented quantitative easing implemented by central banks worldwide since March. This forces USD, a currency tending opposite against U.S. stocks, to constantly decline, providing chances for weak currencies to rebound at different levels.To get more news about upstox, you can visit wikifx news official website.

??From this January till now, only CHF and JPY crowned winners for the whole journey. As of July 27, SEK has become the best performer, with an increase of 5.9%; followed by CHF, rising by 5.1%; while JPY has ranked sixth, with a gain of 2.3%. Under the premise that USD will stay weak in the short term, I will expect a strong CHF with constant buoyancy in the future forex market. CHF is the most stable one for me because there are latent risks in EUR, GBP and the commodity currencies of AUD, NZD and CAD .

??With a glance at July, it is found that some currencies of major industrial countries, which plummeted in the first half of 2020, have rallied in different degrees. Among them, both EUR and AUD have turned their six-month negative inflation into positive one. The main reason is the boom in global stock markets arising from unprecedented quantitative easing implemented by central banks worldwide since March. This forces USD, a currency tending opposite against U.S. stocks, to constantly decline, providing chances for weak currencies to rebound at different levels.

??From this January till now, only CHF and JPY crowned winners for the whole journey. As of July 27, SEK has become the best performer, with an increase of 5.9%; followed by CHF, rising by 5.1%; while JPY has ranked sixth, with a gain of 2.3%. Under the premise that USD will stay weak in the short term, I will expect a strong CHF with constant buoyancy in the future forex market. CHF is the most stable one for me because there are latent risks in EUR, GBP and the commodity currencies of AUD, NZD and CAD .

https://wzimg.fx696.com/guoji/2020-07-30/637317166693812911/ART637317166693812911_818961.png-wikifx_articlepic
??USD and JPY can play the role of safe haven only when stock markets suffer from sharp loss. Currently, stock markets stay uptrend despite of the global tension. Thus, investments may flow from U.S. to Switzerland for safe haven, encouraging more CHF purchases. In view of this, CHF is possible to achieve the 2015 high of 0.9071 before adjustment. But even it is adjusted, I hold that CHF will keep climbing to another high of 0.8700 in the second half of the year.

??Finally, we should pay attention to DXY as well. On the one hand, it has been in highly oversold territory; on the other hand, it may see a retaliatory rebound if the risk hedging of USD takes effect again due to the slump in global stock markets arising from tension.

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